We're already at record valuations as is. The stock market is the only place that you will see your money at least go above inflation. Disney use to tank at the first sign of anyone getting sick from their rides via any bug/virus. I think the rise in the stock prices of EV manufacturers far outpaces any additional growth that occurred this year. Yes, I can't believe Hertz went up another 100%. Upvote for an honest opinion of the situation and possible outcomes. Most investors believe the stock market is in bubble territory according to a new survey from E*Trade Financial. Posts about equities, options, forex, futures, analyst upgrades & downgrades, technical and fundamental analysis, and the stock market in general are all welcome. Tilray shares soar 39% as Reddit message board sets sights on cannabis sector. I think these will be more frequent in the coming years though. Our objective is to provide short and mid term trade ideas, market analysis & commentary for active traders and investors. You didn't just buy because Stock Moe told you to? The dividend is a whopping 8% of its share price. Welcome to /r/StockMarket! Updated 9:53 AM ET, Mon January 25, 2021 . Nowadays it’s carrying a stockbroker in your pocket. You can trade that morsel of approximately 0.000003 shares commission-free. They were giving me tips and that was after I told them I was involved as broker. I guess the market knows that aint gonna happen. The things you are calling bubbles have been drastically accelerated by COVID and the global push for clean energy. New comments cannot be posted and votes cannot be cast, More posts from the StockMarket community. I sold yesterday to lock in 115% gainz. In either case, people will get fucked, regardless how big and nice the numbers on their bank accounts look. That can come from new technology, government intervention or both. Reddit’s storming of the stock market has sparked jitters among professional investors about the fundamental strength of the market, with bubble … But what exactly is it that investors and traders on the stock market do? It has … Samesies. Looks like you're using new Reddit on an old browser. The stock market rarely follows logic these days. Then again, shares of … Again in London, in the 1890s, shares in bicycle companies more than doubled in a year even as major stocks went nowhere. But the problem runs deeper than that. And yet despite this I'm up over 100% on ALB in just 8 months. This chain of events spread across the broader stock market can create a bubble. ... pointed to two key differences with the dot-com bubble… “Boom and Bust” looks closely at 300 years’ worth of market manias using the metaphor of “the fire triangle.” That image has long been evoked to explain the conditions necessary for flames to erupt and persist: oxygen, fuel and heat. ... Are "meme stocks" the new stock market bubble? I figured no matter who wins in the EV market they'll all need to buy lithium for their batteries from someone, so ALB should be a safe bet. I found today's Intelligent Investor column interesting - in regards to the recent surges in EV stocks, SPACs, etc. Reddit board Wallstreetbets seems to have driven a near-2,000% rise in the stock price of troubled video game retailer. That is crazy! Video game and accessories company GameStop has been the poster child of the Reddit rally, with its stock skyrocketing more than 1,600% in January. Online. I'm still holding onto this stock for a while to, but I never expected it to shoot up so far and so fast. We all saw what happened when they were just distracted by the peaceful protesters-Imagine the looting when there are 70% less police. A bubble is a bull market in which you have no position. That lures in naive buyers who think making money is easy. And maybe customers will have returned in mass so earnings aren’t bad? March 2009 P/E: 13.30 March 2020 P/E: 24.90, March 2009 Buffett Indicator: 52% March 2020 Buffett Indicator: 120%. What can we learn from the GME/AMC Meme Stock Bubble of 2021? There is so much liquidity with no where to put it, I have no idea what will deflate valuations. ... as Reddit co-founder Alexis ... situation Wednesday to the 1999 tech stock bubble. People that have never invested before getting into the markets now to "make a shit ton fast" and talking about dumping at the first sign of trouble. After a … ... is bearish and believes the market is in a massive bubble … In case of a national security, that means its people and the rest of the world trading with the US. 1.2m. Edit: it was pointed out that only one state (CA) has mandates on ICE cars currently and it's 2035. What can we learn from the GME/AMC Meme Stock Bubble of 2021? There is no reason for DIS to be 127ish at this moment...and I love Disney. At a certain point, starting your own business or getting into pre-IPO investments will yield far more than these equities. Honestly the valuations these days are insanely high. The stock market isn’t a bubble, but parts of it are on fire. Every big bull market—before it ends—is characterized by an astonishing story or event that, in retrospect, beggars belief. ... Are "meme stocks" the new stock market bubble? People forget it's only a part of chargepoint, not the whole company. Anything outside of money in the bank or under the mattress is enough to literally kill themselves with anxiety. This is a poor niche for a profit-seeking entity in 2021. The massive short squeeze that sent GameStop shares soaring 1600% last month was the final shred of evidence needed for some investors to declare the stock market bubble officially … Will re-enter when it calms down. It is very possible many of these company share prifes stay stagnant for years to come. Photo: STRF/Star Max/IPX/AP. Our objective is to provide short and mid term trade ideas, market analysis & commentary for active traders and investors. The financial use of “bubble” originated centuries ago to describe massive speculation that inflates market prices to the bursting point. Reddit’s storming of the stock market has sparked jitters among professional investors about the fundamental strength of the market, with bubble talk spiking over the last week. The V-shaped recovery in the stock market is gathering serious momentum. Looking back that day in March was close what the actual top of the market of the tech bubble. Hi, welcome to r/investing. The more money … As Reddit investors send meme stocks to the moon, the tell-tale signs of a bubble are starting to form. The US has already spent the past decade doing nothing but spam anti-Chinese propaganda nonstop, so their victim is gonna be China. Reddit rebellion will cause stock crashes, investor Peter Boockvar warns Trading Nation Investor Peter Boockvar is calling the Reddit rebellion "another epic parabolic bubble." They enjoyed their surge and then other players took over. “Boom and Bust” shows that most bubbles tend to be confined to a few stocks or industries. Earnings reports are backward looking, so even before we have Q2 reports showing the full impact of COVID, the market is arguably overvalued. Their demand for the stock, plus the Redditors’, launched the share price on a moon shot. Maybe companies will have reversed course with CapEx spending? It's just the most glaring example of the bubble-like behavior running rampant in the financial markets. Video game and accessories company GameStop has been the poster child of the Reddit rally, with its stock skyrocketing more than 1,600% in January. Something like 3B in rev and only 35 million in net profit. Created Jul 9, 2008. The Reddit hoax-bubble has revealed the underlying myth of the entire enterprise. Marketability, credit and speculation are necessary, but not sufficient, to start and maintain a market fire. The more money people make from that enterprise, the more unpleasant it is to confront the myth. I suspect fractional shares and Robinhood investors here. This is all un-charted and so far by measure of the stock market they pulled it off. Even some Reddit posters got in on the action. It's easy to blame Reddit and its users. That's extremely rich, but it's not entirely accurate. Remove one, and you can prevent or put out a fire. GameStop has turned into one of the great bubbles of our time. Press question mark to learn the rest of the keyboard shortcuts, inflates market prices to the bursting point. Everyone knows doom is just around the corner … In that light, the S&P 500 is at about 17 times expected earnings, roughly 10% above its long-term average. In order for a bubble to even … This kind of upcoming economic depression is what primarily drove Germany into voting for Nazis and starting to exterminate Jews and start wars against several of its neighbours at the same time. Nineteen IPOs have doubled in value this year. This is why the EV market is a bubble. But what exactly is it that investors and traders on the stock market do? So your entire thesis was wrong and you typed a 3 paragraph comment about it? Most investors believe the stock market is in bubble territory according to a new survey from E*Trade Financial. Reddit rebellion will cause stock crashes, investor Peter Boockvar warns Trading Nation Investor Peter Boockvar is calling the Reddit rebellion "another epic parabolic bubble." When savings rates are next to zero why even have your money in a bank? The SPDR S&P Kensho Clean Power ETF, CNRG +1.35% which invests in renewable-energy companies, has gained 88%. China’s more-recent market booms have been stoked by government policies and propaganda. That being said, I think some things are bloated - I bought SBE (Chargepoint) for $13 because I thought it was a nice long term play. The image of a bubble is itself a misnomer. Not a lot of nice things to be looking forward to. Financial bubbles have never had a formal definition, though, and they are diabolically difficult to identify without the benefit of hindsight. Reply. That is all I come here for. ... Barron's: This Is Where the Real Stock Market Bubble Is. It's either the collapse of the US economy and decades-long recession for its people that will drag down the entire West and will hand the future to China... or it will be the US regime starting a World War against China. Reddit board Wallstreetbets seems to have driven a near-2,000% rise in the stock price of troubled video game retailer. Join. Honest opinion not spin. The Reddit hoax-bubble has revealed the underlying myth of the entire enterprise. Putting money into the market is a bit different then hyping up tons of EV stocks that are unprofitable and require lifeline-type money to keep them afloat. Posts about equities, options, forex, futures, analyst upgrades & downgrades, technical and fundamental analysis, and the stock market … If you compare the March 2009 lows to the March 2020 lows it's clear that the recent downturn is NOT the bottom. GameStop is a publicly traded company, best known for selling video-game discs and cartridges in shopping malls. The more it expands and the hotter it gets, the more havoc it can wreak. Screaming stock rallies and wild speculation by have-a-go amateur investors are stirring concerns among market veterans over a bubble to rival anything seen in the past century. Any EV related stocks are definitely being bumped up massively because of the governments of the world forcing a transition away from ICE vehicles. Low interest rates make investing with borrowed money cheaper, while paltry yields on safe savings compel people to invest in riskier alternatives. Are they riding on the coattails of BTC surge, It’s all kind of crazy to me and yes I understand there isn’t much anywhere else to park your cash, it’s a little out of hand. I don't understand it myself. Are you kidding? share. I just don't see how this many EV startups can all exist in an industry that is dominated by legacy players. Today, borrowed money fuels mega-billion-dollar private-equity firms buying entire companies—and individual investors conducting small “margin” trades with as little as $2,000 in a brokerage account. Violations will result in a minimum 30 and likely 60 day ban upon first instance. Most new investors think they are going to catch the next Tesla -when there will never be another Tesla in the EV space. So is this what a stock market bubble looks like? Disagree, argue, criticize, but no personal attacks. The stock-buying binge of the late 1990s was sparked by euphoria over the potential of the internet. The IPO market also makes a strong case for a bubble. I looked around today and saw something I've never seen in my nearly 10 years in the market (I know I've still got lots to learn). With his input numbers fair value 2930, depending how you tweak it you can get numbers from below 2400 to 3400+ (distributions included), This one relies on TA and his model results, I watch daily videos and he is quite accurate https://youtu.be/mOqSTSG8k-s, Weekly talks on fundamentals with bullish bias https://youtu.be/jsxZvJ6eUC4, Weekly pure TA overview https://youtu.be/gy2K4dC7M2g, This is what irrational exuberance looks like. Reddit’s storming of the stock market has sparked jitters among professional investors about the fundamental strength of the market, with bubble talk spiking over the last week. But hedge funds and other institutions also chase those hot returns, fanning the flames even higher. Real people not props. The stock market is a casino that happens to still be open. The stock market isn’t a bubble, but parts of it are on fire. these days? Once GM, Ford, Toyota fully enter the space I don't see how they don't take over. Centuries ago, that meant carving up difficult-to-transfer corporate ownership into tradable shares. The better bet would be to invest in companies that are producing the components that go into the cars, or the power stations like you mention above. https://www.wsj.com/articles/a-stock-market-bubble-its-more-like-a-fire-11605888002?mod=hp_lead_pos12. We are saying that we are willing to make an investment and in 27 years we will get the principal back. The oxygen of investing is marketability, or the ease of buying and selling an asset. I knew that was a top of of the Market that day. As long as the FED keeps blowing, the bubble can keep on getting bigger. The Renaissance IPO ETF, IPO 1.45% an … Because you know what you’re losing in a bank. It’s probably too obvious, but when companies start releasing poor forward guidance at the end of Q2, maybe then we have sellers? Out of 904 active investors who manage at least $10,000 in an … So far in 2020, the NYSE FANG+ index of giant technology stocks is up 78%. There will absolutely be a violent shakeout over the next few years, most of these companies will go belly up. However, it's gone up 100% in about a month. I hope you're joking. This entire situation is also very likely to lead to war (fascist nations that fail generally try and distract their suffering population by externalizing blame). I am a bot, and this action was performed automatically. In proportion to market size—which weights giant tech stocks heavily—the companies in the S&P 500 recently traded at 21 times expected earnings over the next 12 months, according to Matarin Capital Management, an investment firm in New York. The average offering has risen by more than 30% on the first day of … Since the 90s were a time of … The Renaissance IPO ETF, IPO 1.45% an exchange-traded fund that holds recent public offerings, is up 84%. A fourth component, what the authors call a “spark,” is also needed. I'm hoping to generate some discussion on if we're in a bubble, and what kind of data we can look at to help us reach a consensus. On popular trading apps like Robinhood, you can put as little as $1 in Berkshire Hathaway Inc.’s Class A shares, which cost about $345,000 apiece. With a smartphone-trading app, you can buy or sell so-called fractional shares in increments anyone can afford. As any kid who’s ever chewed gum knows, bubbles often barely expand before bursting, and they don’t bother anybody much except parents and teachers. So far in 2020, the NYSE FANG+ index of giant technology stocks is up 78%. I don't really think it's logical and I expect it to slow or be stagnant or decline in the coming months, but I am still planning on holding it for 5-10 years. ... WSB ruined investment based subs on Reddit. Welcome to /r/StockMarket! Twitter Reddit. Print Email. But the bigger the rise the greater the fall. The US is a fascist command economy currently manipulating markets on a scale never seen in modern history. The free stock trading app Robinhood has become the new millennial lockdown hobby; just before it stopped reporting customer trading totals, in June 2020, Robinhood reported more monthly trades than Charles Schwab and E-Trade combined. But the problem runs deeper than that. In this episode of What’s Ahead we examine the unbelievable story of this particular bull market: the eye-popping, unprecedented battle between sophisticated, multibillion-dollar hedge funds … I don’t think anyone knows that answer. Press question mark to learn the rest of the keyboard shortcuts. The story or growth hasn't changed in the past 5 years, but the past 6 months have seen these companies up 1000%. Unbridled optimism seems to be pushing up the share price of one stock in particular — … I think you are very realistic with your expectations. That being said, it is a new industry so you are going to see some growth. The bigger worry is that a fire among a few giant stocks can set the neighborhood ablaze. It is irrational exuberance based on earnings this minute but the market is already assuming normalcy over the next 6 months. Many of these companies saw 2-4 years of growth in a single quarter. Think of the U.S. after the stock market crash of 1929, or Japan 60-plus years later. It also will not last long. Unsecured debt relies on creditors' confidence. Welcome to /r/StockMarket! I have heard people walking down the street talking about how easy it is to make money in the stock market right now. The second side of the fire triangle, fuel, is manifested in financial markets by money and credit. By 2030 most states have mandates for no more ICE cars, so Chargepoint seemed like a logical 10-year play. The media's been giving a lot of attention to a three – word phrase that strikes fear in the hearts of investors: stock market bubble. It’s incredibly frustrating for those of us who know what they are losing due to inflation and repeatedly try to explain why it should not be in the bank but some people are hard wired that way. Please note that as a topic focused subreddit we have higher posting standards than much of Reddit: 1) Please direct all advice requests and beginner questions to the stickied daily threads. Reddit’s storming of the stock market has sparked jitters among professional investors about the fundamental strength of the market, with bubble talk spiking over the last … Back in spring of 2000 I remember hearing waitresses talking about how they are making a ton of money in the market. Some people will never be convinced to put their money into anything that isn’t FDIC insured. I would rather pay down my mortgage at that rate. The “Boom and Bust” book completes the metaphor by noting that the fire triangle has in recent years been updated with a fourth component, an “exothermic chain reaction.”. Possibly the most undervalued stock in the entire market. Rather than regarding overvalued assets as a bubble, we might consider them a fire. ZM and NKLA are two more examples of stocks that have P/E's in the thousands, and from the trading activity, it looks like a game of greater fool to me. In 2008, for example, it was the housing bubble… The Dot Com Bubble refers to the rapid rise of US tech stock equity valuations supported by investors going “all-in” on internet-based companies. Yikes dude, good luck!! Recently, smaller companies and cheap “value” stocks have started to show signs of recovery—which, if it persists, could reduce the market weight of blazing-hot giants like Amazon.com Inc. That might be the firebreak that this market needs. Financial markets, however, can easily heat up fivefold or even 10-fold and then collapse at least 50% in a flash, burning millions of speculators and sometimes charring entire economies. Now, the P/E ratio of SPY is currently around 27 according to WSJ here. Without technology companies, the S&P 500 would have been up only 5%. Most likely, it will lead to massive inflation and a complete lack of confidence in the US stock market once the Fed stops pumping fake money into people's pockets. So, the short answer is: Nobody knows what's gonna happen. The GameStop frenzy on Wall Street has investors, and much of the internet, enraptured — not unlike a good horror movie. Today it’s up like $8 and I haven’t any clue why? Stop worrying and do something. This is also nuts not quite like that period but clearly people don’t understand that fundamentals matter. I bought into ALB due to the EV play factor, they're the largest Lithium miner in the world (though they do sell other materials like Bromine). People have no understanding of the market. In 1999, with internet stocks going ga-ga, the tech-heavy Nasdaq Composite Index gained 86%. That implies that most stocks aren’t cheap—but are hardly overstretched. Hedge Funds Beat The Stock Market Thanks To The Gamestop Saga ... GameStop’s 4,000% Rise, Sold Before Its Reddit Surge. The site may not work properly if you don't, If you do not update your browser, we suggest you visit, Press J to jump to the feed. I agree and disagree in some regards. Our objective is to provide short and mid term trade ideas, market analysis & commentary for active traders and investors. Tesla seems ahead enough in technology that I don' necessarily see them falling behind, but their valuation is so out there that I would not buy unless they came down to $100 or so. When prices go up, more people buy, inflaming prices even more and attracting another rush of speculators. Will the makeup come off this pig in our lifetime...TBD, No one knows , apparently there’s a lot of money on the way to the moon right now though .
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